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Global Financial Engineering Weekly Commentary for Gold Futures by Dr. Glen Brown

Gold futures are standardized, exchange-traded contracts in which the contract buyer agrees to take delivery, from the seller, a specific quantity of gold at a predetermined price on future delivery date. Gold futures give companies involved in the precious metals industry a way to hedge their gold price risk on an expected future purchase or sale of gold. They also allow investors to participate in an easy and convenient alternative to traditional means of investing in gold. Gold can be considered the ultimate store of value. Buying gold futures contracts as an anti-inflation hedge may be their primary use. The liquidity of the gold futures contract often makes it easier to take advantage of opportunities in nearly all market conditions. (Source: https://www.schwab.com/futures/gold)
At Global Financial Engineering, Inc., we believe that each trade should have a name. Hence within our trading models, we have four(4) types of trades that we execute daily.

These are:

Global Micro-Trend Trades
Global Short-Term Trend Trades
Global Medium-Term Trend Trades
Global Long-Term Trend Trades.

The Global Micro-Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #0,#1 & #2 which trade in the direction of our Four Hour Time Bars(FHTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Four Hour Average True Range(FHATR) using period 25.

The Global Short-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #3  which trade in the direction of our Daily Time Bars(DTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Daily Average True Range(DATR) using period 25.

The Global Medium-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #4 which trade in the direction of our Weekly Time Bars(WTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Weekly Average True Range(WATR) using period 25.

The Global Long-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #5 & #6 which trade in the direction of our Monthly Time Bars(MTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss equal to five(5) times the Monthly Average True Range(MATR) using period 25.

Our Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) #3 on August 14, 2022, indicates the following for Gold Futures

Gold Futures Long Term Trend (LTT): Bearish
Gold Futures Medium Term Trend (MTT): Bearish
Gold Futures Short Term Trend (STT): Bullish
Gold Futures Micro Trend (MT): Bullish

We are bullish on Gold Futures within the short term and hence decide to execute a Bullish Short Term trade with a potential trade entry signal as follows:

Global Entry Signal for Gold Futures: 1802.65
Global Trailing Stop Distance for Gold Futures: 1689.192
Global Target Profit for Gold Futures: 2143.024
Current Price for Gold Futures: 1802.26

RISK WARNING!

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. or Global Financial Engineering, Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives, or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

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Global Financial Engineering Weekly Commentary for Bitcoin by Dr. Glen Brown

Bitcoin is the world’s most-traded cryptocurrency which represents a massive share of the cryptocurrency market. It was the first cryptocurrency that was introduced to the public and has therefore the most developed infrastructure. It is often considered to be a trendsetter in the cryptocurrency world. Bitcoin essentially created an alternative asset class and can be used in portfolio hedging strategies, especially during turbulent markets. (Source: Trading View)

Our Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) #3 on August 14, 2022, indicates the following for Bitcoin

The Long Term Trend (LTT): Bearish
The Medium Term Trend (MTT): Bearish
The Short Term Trend (STT): Bullish
The Micro Trend (MT): Bullish

We are bullish on Bitcoin within the short term and hence decide to execute a Bullish Short Term trade with a potential trade entry signal as follows:

Global Entry Signal: 24648.30
Global Trailing Stop Distance: 19776.16
Global Target Profit: 40232.78

RISK WARNING!

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. or Global Financial Engineering, Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives, or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

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Global Financial Engineering Trend Trades

At Global Financial Engineering,Inc., we believe that each trade should have a name. Hence within our trading models we have four(4) types of trades that we execute daily.

These are:

Global Micro-Trend Trades
Global Short-Term Trend Trades
Global Medium-Term Trend Trades
Global Long-Term Trend Trades.

The Global Micro-Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #0,#1 & #2 which trade in the direction of our Four Hour Time Bars(FHTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Four Hour Average True Range(FHATR) using period 25.

The Global Short-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #3  which trade in the direction of our Daily Time Bars(DTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Daily Average True Range(DATR) using period 25.

The Global Medium-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #4 which trade in the direction of our Weekly Time Bars(WTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Weekly Average True Range(WATR) using period 25.

The Global Long-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-System #5 & #6 which trade in the direction of our Monthly Time Bars(MTB) with a Trailing Stop Loss given by five(5) times the Monthly Average True Range(MATR) using period 25.

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Global Hybrid Forex Trading Strategy

Global Hybrid Forex Trading Strategy was developed by Dr. Glen Brown and aims to trade in the direction of the Short, Medium, and Long Term trends using Global Algorithmic Trading Systems(GATS) #4, #5, and #6.
This account is for research purposes and hence should not be deemed as investment advice.

Trading Forex and Leveraged Financial Instruments is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all your capital. You should not invest more than you can afford to lose and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Under no circumstances shall the Company have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any transactions related to CFDs and/or any other financial instruments.

Again, Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Please read our full risk warning at https://www.globalaccountancyinstitute.com/trading-risk-disclaimer/

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Defeat

Kahlil Gibran’s poem ‘Defeat’ gives a lesson on learning from our failures and appreciating them. The poet calls defeat his solitude and aloofness. We need to differentiate solitude from loneliness. Solitude is our time and it helps us reflect on yourselves.

He Said:

Defeat, my Defeat, my solitude and my aloofness;
You are dearer to me than a thousand triumphs,
And sweeter to my heart than all world-glory.

Defeat, my Defeat, my self-knowledge and my defiance,
Through you I know that I am yet young and swift of foot
And not to be trapped by withering laurels.
And in you I have found aloneness
And the joy of being shunned and scorned.


Defeat, my Defeat, my shining sword and shield,
In your eyes I have read
That to be enthroned is to be enslaved,
And to be understood is to be leveled down,
And to be grasped is but to reach one’s fullness
And like a ripe fruit to fall and be consumed.

Defeat, my Defeat, my bold companion,
You shall hear my songs and my cries and my silences,
And none but you shall speak to me of the beating of wings,
And urging of seas,
And of mountains that burn in the night,
And you alone shall climb my steep and rocky soul.

Defeat, my Defeat, my deathless courage,
You and I shall laugh together with the storm,
And together we shall dig graves for all that die in us,
And we shall stand in the sun with a will,
And we shall be dangerous.

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Global Financial Engineering Technical Trade Analysis for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)

LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of chemical products. The company provides nitrogen-based fertilizers, such as ammonia, fertilizer grade ammonium nitrate (HDAN), and urea ammonia nitrate for fertilizer and fertilizer blends for corn and other crops, and NPK fertilizer blends applications. It also offers high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric acids, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluids, as well as concentrated, and blended and regular nitric acids for various applications, including semi-conductor and polyurethane intermediates; pulp and paper, alum, water treatment, metals, and vanadium processing; power plant emissions abatement, water treatment, refrigerants, and metals processing; exhaust stream additive, and horticulture/greenhouse applications; and refrigeration. In addition, the company provides industrial grade ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate, and HDAN solutions for ammonium nitrate fuel oil and specialty emulsions for mining, surface mining, quarries, and construction applications. It sells its products through distributors, as well as directly to end customers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company serves to the agricultural, industrial, and mining markets. LSB Industries, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.( Yahoo Finance)

Our Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) System#6 indicates the following for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) as at March 21,2022:

The LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Long Term Trend (LTT) is currently Bullish
The LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Medium Term Trend (MTT) is currently Bullish
The LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Short Term Trend (STT) is currently Bullish
The LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Micro Trend (MT) is currently Bullish

Global Financial Engineering Technical Trade Analysis for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)
Global Financial Engineering Technical Trade Analysis for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)

We are Bullish on LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) with previous trade entry signal as follows:

Current Price for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU):$22.98
Global Entry Signal for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) : Buy at $5.86
Global Trailing Stop Distance for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU): $17.27
Global Target Profit for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU): $46.11

Trade at your own risk!. This is not an investment advice!

Further Risk Warning:

Stocks, Futures and Forex Trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute,Inc. or Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

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Global Financial Engineering Trades Analysis For EUR/JPY

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We are still bullish on Euro/Japanese Yen(EUR/JPY).

Our Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) System#6 indicates the following for Euro/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) as at February 9,2022:

The Long Term Trend (LTT) is currently Bullish
The Medium Term Trend (MTT) is currently Bullish
The Short Term Trend (STT) is currently Bullish
The Micro Trend (MT) is currently Bullish

We will attempt a Bullish trade based on the current bullish market structure as shown on the Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) #6 with potential trade entry signal as follows:

Global Potential Trade Entry Signal #1 : 131.771
Global Maximum Catastrophe Hard Stop Loss :130.388
Global Maximum Catastrophe Trailing Stop: 130.388
Global Maximum Profit Target: 137.41
Current Price as at February 9, 2022: 131.92

Trade at your own risk!. This is not an investment advice!

RISK WARNING!

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute,Inc. or Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

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What is the Profit Factor of a Trading System

The profit factor is defined as the gross profit divided by the gross loss (including commissions) for the entire trading period. This performance metric relates the amount of profit per unit of risk, with values greater than one indicating a profitable/tradable system. It is very important to track this matric to ensure that it does not fall below zero for a long period of time.

The profit factor is very easy to calculate. It is the ratio between gross profits and gross losses . If you analyze the advance performance matric for the Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS)-System #5 you will see that it has a profit factor of 2.17 for the period January 01, 2022 to January 31, 2022

Global Algorithmic Trading Software Advanced Statistics

You can learn more about profit factor and other performance matric such as Standard Deviation, Sharpe Ratio, Z-Score, Expectancy, AHPR, GHPR by registering for the Global Professional Proprietary Trading Course

RISK WARNING!

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute,Inc. or Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

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A better way to set Stop Losses by Dr. Glen Brown

Your Stop Loss should be based on the Volatility Exposure(VE) of the financial instrument .

Volatility is the  rate at which the price of a financial instrument  increases or decreases for a given set of returns.

How do we measure Volatility of a financial instrument?

Volatility is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time. This shows the range to which the price of a financial instrument may increase or decrease. Hence, Volatility measures the risk of a financial instrument.

Within the Global  Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS), We use Volatility to  indicate the pricing behavior of the financial instrument which help us to estimate the fluctuations that may happen within different timeframes.

We use the PATS Average True Range(ATR) indicator to set the stop loss and profit target for the various subsystems and strategies.

At Global Financial Engineering, we believe that your stop loss should be based on the number of Volatility Exposure Days (VEDs) or Volatility Exposure Periods (VEPs). 

For example:

**1 VED or 12VEPs is assigned to the based system which runs on the 1 minute chart where the default risk is set at 0.25% of free equity

**2 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #1 which runs on the 5 minutes chart, where the default risk is set at 0.5% of free equity

**3 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #2 which runs on the 15 minutes chart, where the default risk is set at 0.75% of free equity

**4 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #3 which runs on the 30 minutes chart, where the default risk is set at 1.00% of free equity

**5 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #4 which runs on the 60 minutes chart, where the default risk is set at 1.25% of free equity

**6 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #5 which runs on the 240 minutes chart, where the default risk is set at 1.5% of free equity

**7 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #6 which runs on the Daily chart, where the default risk is set at 1.75% of free equity

**8 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #7 which runs on the Weekly chart, where the default risk is set at 2.00% of free equity

**9 VEDs or 12VEPs is assigned to system #8 which runs on the Monthly chart, where the default risk is set at 2.00% of free equity

The Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) will use the above inputs to calculate the position size of each financial instrument.

RISK WARNING!

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute,Inc. or Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

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Global Financial Engineering Micro Trend Trades Analysis for EURUSD for August 6, 2021

We are bearish on EURUSD in the short term. Hence we have executed a bearish trade at 1.18345 based on the current Micro-Trend with a volatility stop loss methodology which adapts to changing market conditions.


Our volatility stop for EURUSD is currently at 1.17900. This remove the normal risk from this trade and give us the opportunity to allow profit to run.

Global Financial Engineering use machine-learning, applied mathematics, and techniques from modern statistics to develop and refine models of the financial markets and to develop trading algorithms based on those models.

RISK WARNING!

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute,Inc. or Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers.
Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.