Portfolio-Level Noise Budget – Managing Entangled Risks

Portfolio-Level Noise Budget – Managing Entangled Risks

Introduction
Visualize a portfolio as a quantum system where assets are entangled—when one falters, others resonate, amplifying noise during systemic stress. Dr. Glen Brown’s Law 7 of the Nine-Laws Framework addresses this by establishing a portfolio-level noise budget, allocating Dynamic Adaptive ATR Trailing Stop (DAATS) sums and using the Global Normalized Asset Score Difference (GNASD) to rebalance risks. Integrated into the Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) strategies (GATS1 to GATS43200), this law leverages quantum entanglement to manage correlated volatility across timeframes. This article examines how GATS strategies optimize portfolio resilience, blending quantum insight with financial discipline.

Understanding Law 7: Portfolio-Level Noise Budget
Law 7 caps total portfolio risk at 2%, distributing it across GATS strategies based on DAATS sums (e.g., 16x ATR(256) per trade) and GNASD, which measures normalized performance differences between assets. During correlated stress (e.g., VIX spikes), the law reduces exposure to entangled assets (e.g., equities, crypto) and increases allocations to uncorrelated ones (e.g., gold, bonds), adjusting DAATS dynamically. Multi-timeframe alignments (e.g., M1/M5/M15 for GATS1, M43200 for GATS9) ensure consistency, with weekly GNASD validation refining the noise budget to maintain stability.

Quantum Analogy: Entanglement and Resource Allocation
In quantum mechanics, entanglement links particles, requiring resource allocation to manage shared states. Similarly, Law 7 treats portfolio assets as entangled, with noise (volatility) as a shared resource. The noise budget allocates DAATS like quantum resources, using GNASD to minimize entropy (disorder) across assets. This process mirrors a quantum system’s optimization, ensuring GATS strategies balance risk and return across timeframes.

GATS Integration Across Strategies
The nine GATS strategies apply Law 7 with portfolio-specific adaptations:

  • GATS1 (Global Momentum Scalper, M1): Allocates 0.01%–0.1% risk to high-frequency assets (e.g., forex) in the M60 Metals Portfolio, reducing to 0.005% during correlation spikes on M1/M5/M15.
  • GATS2 (Global Quick Trend Trader, M5): Assigns 0.02%–0.2% risk to short-term metals (e.g., copper), cutting exposure by 50% if ADX > 20 and DAATS align on M5/M15/M30.
  • GATS3 (Global Rapid Trend Catcher, M15): Distributes 0.03%–0.3% risk to intraday metals, rebalancing with GNASD if M15/M30/M60 correlations rise.
  • GATS4 (Global Intraday Swing Trader, M30): Allocates 0.04%–0.4% risk to swing metals, adjusting DAATS sums during M30/M60/M240 stress.
  • GATS5 (Global Hourly Trend Follower, M60): Assigns 0.05%–0.5% risk to hourly metals, optimizing with GNASD on M60/M240/M1440.
  • GATS6 (Global Four-Hour Trend Follower, M240): Distributes 0.06%–0.6% risk to multi-hour metals, adjusting with GMACD (15, 25, 8) on M240/M1440/M10080.
  • GATS7 (Global Daily Trend Rider, M1440): Allocates 0.07%–0.7% risk to daily metals, rebalancing with GNASD on M1440/M10080/M43200.
  • GATS8 (Global Weekly Trend Rider, M10080): Assigns 0.08%–0.8% risk to weekly metals, reducing exposure during M10080/M43200 shocks.
  • GATS9 (Global Monthly Trend Rider, M43200): Distributes 0.09%–0.9% risk to monthly metals, stabilizing with GNASD on M43200.

This scaling ensures shorter timeframes (GATS1–GATS3) adjust quickly, while longer timeframes (GATS7–GATS9) provide portfolio stability.

Trading Example: M60 Metals Portfolio on June 28, 2025, 06:42 PM EST
At 06:42 PM EST today, the M60 Metals Portfolio (gold, silver, copper) faces correlated stress: EMA Zones shift to Transition (Pale Green), mixed HAS candles on M60, I-Trend Green ≈ Red, GMACD flat, and ADX = 19. ATR(256) = 0.02, DAATS = 16×0.02 = 0.32. VIX +1.5 standard deviations suggests entanglement.

  • GATS1 (M1): Reduces 0.01% risk ($10 on $100,000) to 0.005% ($5) for forex in the portfolio, pausing M1/M5/M15 trades as DAATS sums rise.
  • GATS5 (M60): Adjusts 0.05% risk ($50) to 0.025% ($25) for gold, reallocating to bonds with GNASD, targeting $250 post-recovery.
  • GATS9 (M43200): Maintains 0.09% risk ($90) for silver, reducing to 0.045% ($45) during monthly correlation, targeting $450.
    GNASD rebalances to 50% uncorrelated assets, validated weekly.

Quantum Connection: Managing Entangled Resources
The portfolio noise budget reflects quantum entanglement, where correlated assets share volatility as a resource. Law 7’s DAATS allocation and GNASD optimization minimize this shared entropy, akin to resource management in a quantum system. This ensures GATS1–GATS9 maintain portfolio stability across timeframes, adapting to entangled risks.

Risk Controls

  • Noise Budget Cap: Limit total portfolio risk to 2%, reducing individual strategy risk by 50% during correlation (e.g., 0.025% for GATS1) (Law 7).
  • DAATS Allocation: Adjust DAATS sums based on GNASD, widening to 20x ATR(256) in stress (0.40), tightening to 12x (0.24) in stability (Law 4).
  • Hedging: Increase uncorrelated asset allocation (e.g., bonds) to 50% during VIX spikes, using options for GATS5–GATS9 (Law 3).
  • Slippage Buffer: Pad DAATS with 0.1x ATR (0.002) for GATS1–GATS5 to cover correlated noise (Law 8).
  • Validation: Recalibrate GNASD weekly if drawdowns exceed 5%, adjusting asset weights (Law 9).

Key Takeaways
Law 7’s portfolio-level noise budget, inspired by quantum entanglement, enables GATS1–GATS9 to manage correlated risks using DAATS and GNASD. This approach optimizes exposure across timeframes, from rapid adjustments to long-term stability, strengthening the Nine Laws’ risk management framework.

About the Author: Dr. Glen Brown
Dr. Glen Brown is the President and CEO of Global Accountancy Institute, Inc., and Global Financial Engineering, Inc., where he pioneers proprietary trading methodologies blending financial engineering with quantum-inspired principles. With over 25 years of experience in finance, accountancy, and trading, Dr. Brown holds a Ph.D. in Investments and Finance and is a recognized expert in developing algorithmic trading systems. His Nine-Laws Framework and Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) reflect a commitment to rigorous research and innovative risk management, serving internal proprietary trading and academic exploration.

Closed Business Model Disclaimer
Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. and Global Financial Engineering, Inc. develop proprietary analytics and frameworks exclusively for internal research and academic publication. No external services, licensing, public courses, or advisory services are offered. All methodologies, including the Nine-Laws Framework and GATS strategies, are designed for in-house desk development and proprietary trading.

Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk and the potential for substantial losses, including loss of principal. The techniques and examples discussed are illustrative and not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should conduct their own due diligence, consult qualified financial advisors, and implement appropriate risk management before applying any strategies. The Nine-Laws Framework and GATS strategies are educational tools for internal use by Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. and Global Financial Engineering, Inc.



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