• Part 4: Probability Weighting & Margin-of-Safety

    • August 5, 2025
    • Posted by: Drglenbrown1
    • Category: Equity Valuation / Financial Engineering
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    Probability Weighting Margin-of-Safety

    Part 4 shows you step-by-step how to compute a probability-weighted forecast and apply a margin-of-safety, using Tesla as the example.

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  • Part 3: Defining Regimes via Fibonacci Splits & Scenario Forecasts

    • August 5, 2025
    • Posted by: Drglenbrown1
    • Category: Equity Valuation / Financial Engineering
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    Part 3: “Defining Regimes via Fibonacci Splits & Scenario Forecasts”

    Part 3 shows you step-by-step how to apply 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% Fibonacci splits to your EVDF, derive EVGF, and forecast prices for each regime using Tesla as an example.

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