admin No Comments

Gold Futures Trade Analysis by Dr. Glen Brown using Base Trend (BT) Trading Strategy

When I embarked on this journey to evaluate our Gold futures trade executed on September 28, 2023, I was driven by a precise methodology – the Base Trend (BT) Trading Strategy. This strategy, as many seasoned traders may know, is a meticulously crafted tool that uses a blend of advanced indicators, seamlessly fusing them to extract the best possible outcome from the market.

On that particular day, the price of Gold futures stood at 1873.86. Relying on my strategy, I received a sell signal, which was reinforced by several critical indicators:

  1. EMA Zones: The color-coded EMA Zones were a clear pointer, showing a Bearish Market Structure. Especially notable were the Salmon EMAs (EMA 90 to EMA 140) and the Brick Red EMAs (EMA 141 to EMA 200) in the Trend Reassessment Zone and the Long-term Trend Zone, respectively.
  2. HAS Candles: The Global HAS (Heiken Ashi Smoothed) candles had taken a distinct red hue, another bearish signal.
  3. Time Bars: All the Global Time Bars for M60, M240, and M1440 were red, further echoing the bearish sentiment.
  4. Global I-Trend: The Green Line of the Global I-Trend slipped below the Red Line, validating the sell signal.
  5. ADX: A clear indication came from the Global ADX, which crossed the 20-mark.
  6. GMACD Indicator: All its signals – from the Signal, Main Trend, to the Major Trend Indicator – reflected a Downward Trend. This was supported by the GMACD Settings, particularly with the Fast Length (6), Slow Length (9), and Signal Length (3) parameters.

Now, for trade execution and management, our trusty Global Automated Trading System (GATS) took charge. Keeping risks in check, it established a Default Maximum Percentage Risk Per Trade at a prudent 2%. Furthermore, it adeptly set an Adaptive ATR Trailing Stop, calculated at 12 times the M60 Average True Range (ATR) using a period of 40. This not only maximized our potential gains but ensured they were in line with a Reward-to-Risk Ratio of 3:1. Our calculated exit was set at 1767.84.

However, as of now, the current price seems to be hovering at 1874.93, and our Adaptive ATR trailing stop has shifted to 1909.05. This indicates some market resistance or possibly a brief reversal.

In reflection, I appreciate the intricacies and the strength of the Base Trend (BT) Trading Strategy. The methodical approach it offers, combined with the real-time agility of the GATS, gives traders like me a comprehensive tool to navigate the volatile waters of the Gold futures market. While every trade has its dynamics, the core principles remain – detailed analysis, trust in your strategy, and risk management. I look forward to seeing how this trade further unfolds and using the insights for future endeavors.

Gold Futures Trade Update: Aggressive Trade Management and Break-Even Point (BEP) Activation

Today, September 29, 2023, the gold market showcased a notable price of $18,855.53. With the market’s dynamic movements and our continuous aim to maximize returns while safeguarding our position, an aggressive trade management strategy is paramount.

As the head of the trading division and in line with our strategic vision, I’ve taken the initiative to direct our automated trading system, GATS, to employ a critical feature — the Break-Even Point (BEP) activation. This decision is rooted in our comprehensive strategy that focuses on risk mitigation and profit protection.

The mechanics of the BEP feature are straightforward yet profoundly impactful:

  1. Initial Risk Calculation: At the trade’s execution, there’s an inherent risk, determined by the difference between our entry point and the initially set ATR adaptive trailing stop.
  2. 36.9% Movement: The BEP feature triggers once the gold price shifts by 36.9% of this initial risk. This percentage is not arbitrary; it’s calculated based on our extensive market analysis, historical data, and risk tolerance.
  3. ATR Trailing Stop Adjustment: With the aforementioned price movement, the Adaptive ATR Trailing Stop is promptly adjusted to our break-even point, effectively ensuring that, from this point onward, the position is protected from a loss. This break-even point is our initial entry price.
  4. Continuous Trailing: Post the BEP adjustment, the ATR Trailing Stop will continue its regular tracking but with an added buffer — it’ll trail by 369 points.

Today, due to this feature activation and the calculated market movements, our Adaptive ATR Trailing Stop now stands firmly at $1858.53.

In essence, this decision ensures that we’re playing on the front foot. We’re not just passively observing market movements, but actively taking steps to ensure our position is guarded. We’re capitalizing on positive market shifts, while simultaneously ensuring that our downside is limited.

It’s these strategic interventions and our unwavering commitment to innovative trade management techniques that continue to position us at the forefront of the trading landscape.

About the Author:

Dr. Glen Brown is an esteemed figure in the finance and trading industry, with over 25 years of unparalleled experience. Holding the title of President & CEO at both Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. and Global Financial Engineering, Inc., Dr. Brown spearheads innovations that bridge accountancy, finance, investments, trading, and technology. With a Ph.D. in Investments and Finance, his prowess extends beyond leadership, manifesting in roles like Chief Financial Engineer, Head of Trading & Investments, Chief Data Scientist, and Senior Lecturer. Dr. Brown’s blend of academic depth and practical expertise makes him a beacon of knowledge and a trusted voice in the intricate world of trading and finance.

Risk Disclaimer:

The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment advice, an endorsement, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Every investment carries inherent risks, and past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Always conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making any trading or investment decision. Neither Dr. Glen Brown nor any affiliated entities bear responsibility for any losses that arise from using the information presented.

admin No Comments

Navigating the Duality: My Gold Futures Trading Strategy in a Mixed Trend Environment

Good morning, I’m Dr. Glen Brown, and today I want to delve into Gold futures, a topic that intrigues investors and traders alike. Gold, the shimmering metal, offers more than just aesthetic appeal; it provides ongoing trading opportunities, responding swiftly to economic and political events. Currently priced at $1923.22, the market appears to be in a state of flux, with both bullish and bearish indicators.

Our Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) #6 reflects this duality. The Long Term Trend (LTT) shows bullish momentum, while the Medium and Short Term Trends (MTT and STT) indicate a bearish outlook. Surprisingly, the Micro Trend (MT) is back to bullish. In such a situation, a trader might be torn between going long or short. That’s where my strategy comes in.

The buy and sell signal parameters are particularly useful here. When the EMA Zones show a Bullish Market Structure and the Global ADX surpasses 20, among other bullish indicators, it’s an ideal situation to go long. Conversely, a Bearish Market Structure and a falling Global I-Trend’s Green Line are strong sell signals.

I’m keeping a close eye on the MACD (4, 22, 3) signals, particularly on the M1440 and M10080 charts. The Stochastic Oscillator reading at 99.61 suggests the asset could be overbought, an essential data point to consider.

My Stop Loss gaps for short-term, medium-term, and long-term trades are carefully calculated based on multiple factors, ensuring an optimized risk management strategy.

Gold’s last significant swing high was at $1952.81, and the swing low was at $1899.34. My Stop Loss will be calculated based on these swing points and will vary depending on whether I am trading a short, medium, or long-term trend.

As the price is currently within the M43200 Transition Zone and the M10080 Value Zone, I recommend traders to stay vigilant and responsive to any directional shifts in these intricate layers of market trends.

About the Author

Dr. Glen Brown is a finance and accounting luminary with over 25 years of extensive experience in the industry. As President & CEO of Global Financial Engineering, Inc. and Global Accountancy Institute, Inc., Dr. Brown leads unique organizations that blend the realms of Accountancy, Finance, Investments, Trading, and Technology to stand as a Global Multi-Asset Class Professional Proprietary Trading Firm.

These specialized firms do not offer any services or products to the general public and do not accept clients or external funds, focusing exclusively on in-house expertise and proprietary trading strategies.

Equipped with a Ph.D. in Investments and Finance, Dr. Brown’s proficiency spans a variety of financial disciplines, including financial accounting, management accounting, finance, investments, strategic management, and risk management. His dual roles also see him serving as the Chief Financial Engineer, Head of Trading & Investments, Chief Data Scientist, and Senior Lecturer in diverse financial areas.

Guiding Dr. Brown’s leadership and groundbreaking contributions to the world of finance is his core philosophy: “We must consume ourselves in order to transform ourselves for our rebirth. We are blessed with subtlety, creative imaginations, and outstanding potential to attain spiritual enlightenment, transformation, and regeneration.” This belief system underpins his relentless pursuit of innovation, personal growth, and excellence within his organizations.

Risk Disclaimer:

Trading futures involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade responsibly and consult with a certified financial advisor before engaging in any trading activities.

admin No Comments

Global Financial Engineering Weekly Commentary for Gold Futures by Dr. Glen Brown

Gold futures are standardized, exchange-traded contracts in which the contract buyer agrees to take delivery, from the seller, a specific quantity of gold at a predetermined price on future delivery date. Gold futures give companies involved in the precious metals industry a way to hedge their gold price risk on an expected future purchase or sale of gold. They also allow investors to participate in an easy and convenient alternative to traditional means of investing in gold. Gold can be considered the ultimate store of value. Buying gold futures contracts as an anti-inflation hedge may be their primary use. The liquidity of the gold futures contract often makes it easier to take advantage of opportunities in nearly all market conditions. (Source:

At Global Financial Engineering, Inc. we believe that each trade should have a name. Hence within our trading models, we have four (4) types of trades that we execute daily.

These are:

  • Global Micro-Trend Trades
  • Global Short-Term Trend Trades
  • Global Medium-Term Trend Trades
  • Global Long-Term Trend Trades.

The Global Micro-Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) using Sub-Systems: GATS1, GATS5, GATS15, and GATS30.

The Global Short-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) using Sub-System: GATS60.

The Global Medium-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS) using Sub-System: GATS240.

The Global Long-Term Trend Trades are executed by our Proprietary Global Algorithmic Trading Software(GATS) using Sub-Systems: GATS1440, GATS10080 and GATS43200.

Our Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS240) on January 21, 2023, indicates the following for Gold Futures

These are:

  • Gold Futures Long Term Trend (LTT): Bullish
  • Gold Futures Medium Term Trend (MTT): Bullish
  • Gold Futures Short Term Trend (STT): Bullish
  • Gold Futures Micro Trend (MT): Bullish

The bullish micro trend was able to able to found support at Global Support 25, Global Support 50 and Global Support 89 on GATS240. However, further analysis reveals a bullish market structure on GATS240. Our preference is to maintain a bullish bias on Gold Futures within the short term and execute a Bullish Short Term trades.

Potential Trade Entry:

  • Global Buy Entry Signal for Gold Futures: 1931.00
  • Global Trailing Stop Distance for Gold Futures: 1931.00 – (9 x 8.9536) =80.5824
  • Global Target Profit for Gold Futures: 1931.00 + (3 x 9 x 8.9536) = 2172.7472
  • Current Price for Gold Futures: 1926.63

It is important to monitor price action when price reaches $2000 and act upon any 58 Reversal Signals.

We are considering the high of $2075.21 on August 02, 2020, and $2070.40 on March 06,2022 to be a major resistance zone.

For many years traders and investors use gold as an inflation hedge. However the aggressive interest rate hikes by central bankers around the world is having a negative effect on gold price.


There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don’t trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. or Global Financial Engineering, Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives, or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances